Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Arian Barbic vs Lars Goran Verwerft
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0560accee49e9cdda91ea7a7887b7873929dd4f9b0d0f95e6f164883ea711c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lars Goran Verwerftof Arian Barbic, Lars Goran Verwerft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Arian Barbic | 21c | 599.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 79c | 550.23$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arian Barbic | 20c | 462.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Arian Barbic | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Arian Barbic | 8c | 328.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 79c | 263.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Arian Barbic | 21c | 252.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Arian Barbic | 21c | 242.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Arian Barbic | 21c | 232.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 79c | 223.01$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Arian Barbic | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Arian Barbic | 17c | 196.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Arian Barbic | 20c | 169.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Arian Barbic | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Arian Barbic | 21c | 128.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arian Barbic | 16c | 90.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Arian Barbic | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Arian Barbic | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Arian Barbic | 20c | 58.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…17bdbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.