College Football · resolved market
Washington State vs. Ole Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e80f89d05d7717c0a31f97352b20f53566eced20ddc221f34591f2af1d2749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Washington State, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Washington State | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington State | 4c | 4,638$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Washington State | 7c | 3,453$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.54 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Washington State | 11c | 2,612$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington State | 9c | 2,045$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington State | 9c | 1,722$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Washington State | 12c | 1,647$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Washington State | 4c | 1,560$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Washington State | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Washington State | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Washington State | 5c | 750.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington State | 3c | 673$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington State | 10c | 567$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Washington State | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Washington State | 4c | 485.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Washington State | 16c | 470.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Washington State | 4c | 350.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Washington State | 10c | 348.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Washington State | 14c | 297.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Washington State | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Washington State | 17c | 238.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…214abacked Washington State | 6c | 193.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…dbfbbacked Washington State | 7c | 178.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…de15backed Washington State | 8c | 136.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Washington State | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Washington State | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…8714backed Washington State | 14c | 104.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State vs. Ole Missthis page
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-32.5)Washington State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.