Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Quentin Halys vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f810fad35752590b5ad70bafea664465b65e83a6980c2642be4b6693010afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basilashviliof Halys, Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Basilashvili | 47c | 2,695$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Halys | 51c | 1,791$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.07 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Halys | 53c | 1,757$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.96 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Basilashvili | 51c | 1,350$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.17 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Halys | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Basilashvili | 79c | 919.92$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Basilashvili | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Halys | 49c | 495$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Halys | 30c | 474.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Halys | 54c | 427.28$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Halys | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Halys | 53c | 380.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Halys | 21c | 375$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Basilashvili | 65c | 346.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Halys | 32c | 344.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Halys | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Halys | 53c | 101.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Halys | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Basilashvili | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Halys | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Basilashvili | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Halys | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Basilashvili | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Basilashvili | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Halys | 34c | 33.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.