Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Xipto GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5809812f7c6205c0d0a981a2794fe1db1a904a2c503834ec0db47c5f397488e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp GCof Xipto GC, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Xipto GC | 3c | 1,969$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Xipto GC | 41c | 803.03$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Xipto GC | 39c | 543.74$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Karmine Corp GC | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xipto GC | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 294.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Karmine Corp GC | 57c | 122.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 102.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xipto GC | 34c | 80.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Xipto GC | 34c | 79.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…54febacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 77.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked Xipto GC | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…f244backed Karmine Corp GC | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Xipto GC | 33c | 51.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xipto GC | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Karmine Corp GC | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…1803backed Karmine Corp GC | 71c | 46.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Karmine Corp GC | 64c | 45.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Karmine Corp GC | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…8ab6backed Karmine Corp GC | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…a765backed Karmine Corp GC | 72c | 37.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6244…d154backed Karmine Corp GC | 71c | 36.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…8375backed Karmine Corp GC | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…8723backed Karmine Corp GC | 71c | 32.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…3ab7backed Karmine Corp GC | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Karmine Corp GC | 66c | 28.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9a20backed Karmine Corp GC | 71c | 25.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…0a1dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Xipto GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3)this page
- Valorant: Xipto GC vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp GC won
- Valorant: Xipto GC vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.