Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x580da1693ce0fc3f7366dd16f4600c9c8a6aa357ed5d08424dcfe3cedf7d7c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 2,328$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 983.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.27 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 893.68$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 687.94$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.93 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 64c | 556.69$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 549.16$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 51c | 436.15$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.44 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 403.3$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 52c | 334.31$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 40c | 311.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 38c | 295.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 46c | 133.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 57c | 107$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 51c | 98.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 43c | 83.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 28c | 52.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 52c | 41.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 38.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 42c | 33.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 33.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…5d0abacked Over | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Under | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Under | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.