CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585f4554a36483d0d610d074be1352e0e2f30272925a61cc80d436c187ca2b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noir Verseof LPH Gaming, Noir Verse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked LPH Gaming | 12c | 206.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 204 | 36.8%75 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed LPH Gaming | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 209 | 35.9%75 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Noir Verse | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed LPH Gaming | 43c | 185.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LPH Gaming | 15c | 161.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d340backed Noir Verse | 62c | 161.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed LPH Gaming | 46c | 150.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Noir Verse | 57c | 147.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LPH Gaming | 45c | 133.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…6529backed Noir Verse | 54c | 126.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LPH Gaming | 10c | 118.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed LPH Gaming | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Noir Verse | 58c | 98.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked LPH Gaming | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LPH Gaming | 43c | 82.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed LPH Gaming | 15c | 82.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LPH Gaming | 44c | 78.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LPH Gaming | 44c | 75.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LPH Gaming | 47c | 72.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Noir Verse | 76c | 68.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Noir Verse | 70c | 62.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked LPH Gaming | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed LPH Gaming | 27c | 40.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LPH Gaming | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Noir Verse | 52c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 129 | 77.5%100 W · 29 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Noir Verse | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNoir Verse won
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerNoir Verse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.