Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5879882e287cef6030435223f9708f20daebf54eb0eab130b0ded78c4b09cc61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 73c | 1,100$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.74 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 30c | 825.82$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 722.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 31c | 567.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 538.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 289.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 15c | 212.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 31c | 139.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 134.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 15c | 132.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 31c | 110.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 31c | 93.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 24c | 87.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 81.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 72c | 71.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 31c | 65.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 50.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 67c | 42.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 39.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 66c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 71c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Heracles Almelo (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.