Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bergamo: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Leonardo Borrelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58aee4eb2392ea2a798c6befb4a567961b7ed0e56c303b61365fed6bd4245b4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denis Constantin Spiridonof Denis Constantin Spiridon, Leonardo Borrelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 70c | 1,455$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.74 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 46c | 702.2$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leonardo Borrelli | 33c | 589.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 50c | 295.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Leonardo Borrelli | 31c | 287.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leonardo Borrelli | 39c | 240.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Leonardo Borrelli | 32c | 211.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 50c | 189.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 33c | 166.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 65c | 158.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leonardo Borrelli | 26c | 137.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 28c | 126.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Leonardo Borrelli | 26c | 121.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 52c | 118.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 25c | 88.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 27c | 82.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leonardo Borrelli | 28c | 79.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 54c | 79.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 50c | 66.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 57c | 63.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 65c | 63.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…d5c5backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 59c | 35.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 36c | 31.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 50c | 23.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.