Tennis · resolved market
ITF Frankfurt: Maxime Chazal vs Ziga Sesko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b65306d57282a87d0c1f067bfba222dbc836960b35b3186ba5163a7f181cb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxime Chazalof Maxime Chazal, Ziga Sesko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ziga Sesko | 30c | 11,587$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.28 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maxime Chazal | 72c | 5,483$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.45 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maxime Chazal | 69c | 2,735$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.28 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Maxime Chazal | 68c | 1,691$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Maxime Chazal | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ziga Sesko | 43c | 584.49$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ziga Sesko | 31c | 570.76$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…1248backed Maxime Chazal | 69c | 550$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Maxime Chazal | 66c | 503.09$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Maxime Chazal | 72c | 420$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…9358backed Maxime Chazal | 68c | 383$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Maxime Chazal | 71c | 174.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Maxime Chazal | 73c | 172.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Maxime Chazal | 74c | 168.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Ziga Sesko | 72c | 159.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ziga Sesko | 54c | 142.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Ziga Sesko | 30c | 124.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Ziga Sesko | 31c | 121.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Maxime Chazal | 68c | 111.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…873bbacked Maxime Chazal | 70c | 110.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Ziga Sesko | 33c | 98.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Ziga Sesko | 31c | 96.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Maxime Chazal | 39c | 90.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ziga Sesko | 38c | 81.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ziga Sesko | 29c | 79.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Maxime Chazal | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Maxime Chazal | 65c | 74.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ziga Sesko | 32c | 72.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Ziga Sesko | 32c | 71.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Maxime Chazal | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ziga Sesko | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ziga Sesko | 43c | 58.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Maxime Chazal | 71c | 56.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ziga Sesko | 58c | 54.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…7787backed Ziga Sesko | 30c | 51.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Maxime Chazal | 74c | 50.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ziga Sesko | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Maxime Chazal | 42c | 46.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Maxime Chazal | 69c | 39.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Maxime Chazal | 69c | 30.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Ziga Sesko | 64c | 26.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Maxime Chazal | 65c | 22.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Maxime Chazal | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.