Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58bc7711e45b73805d6d162391f6d2b3becd45f7aa2cb44df656fc5226c176b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 5,829$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.9 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed GamerLegion | 7c | 4,151$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.37 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 0c | 4,088$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed GamerLegion | 8c | 2,974$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.89 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked GamerLegion | 6c | 1,562$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked GamerLegion | 10c | 1,544$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed GamerLegion | 9c | 1,261$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked GamerLegion | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked GamerLegion | 10c | 483$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed GamerLegion | 11c | 482$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…957cbacked GamerLegion | 5c | 364.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed GamerLegion | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed GamerLegion | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.