CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ccbf12a0275e75b46884f8dc88d2fee35c6519342023ad20b02011c3f0e562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof Falcons Force, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec65…34d5backed Falcons Force | 4c | 1,637$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Falcons Force | 38c | 1,100$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ENCE | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force | 48c | 425.58$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…4c30backed ENCE | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked ENCE | 51c | 339.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ENCE | 55c | 333.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Falcons Force | 49c | 317$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ENCE | 61c | 303.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Falcons Force | 48c | 203.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Falcons Force | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ENCE | 68c | 171.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ENCE | 69c | 149.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Falcons Force | 50c | 149.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed ENCE | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ENCE | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Falcons Force | 41c | 99.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Falcons Force | 25c | 94.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Falcons Force | 35c | 85.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE | 74c | 85.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ENCE | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ENCE | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ENCE | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Falcons Force | 50c | 57.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ENCE | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Falcons Force | 23c | 50.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…f5bebacked ENCE | 51c | 46.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Falcons Force | 45c | 34.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 22.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed ENCE | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ENCE | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked ENCE | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…bcb8backed ENCE | 66c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ENCE | 63c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerENCE won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerENCE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.