Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Katie Volynets vs Rebecca Sramkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fe95ddc6fc21529aab1b7dcb18e57e53e0fee9e82ed950ecb6de706c343f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katie Volynetsof Katie Volynets, Rebecca Sramkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,877 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rebecca Sramkova | 1c | 4,198$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Rebecca Sramkova | 16c | 3,199$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rebecca Sramkova | 7c | 2,687$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rebecca Sramkova | 46c | 2,002$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.5 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rebecca Sramkova | 10c | 1,936$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rebecca Sramkova | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Katie Volynets | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Katie Volynets | 56c | 1,455$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Katie Volynets | 55c | 952.73$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rebecca Sramkova | 45c | 761.64$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.74 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Katie Volynets | 55c | 753$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rebecca Sramkova | 22c | 614.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Katie Volynets | 60c | 609.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rebecca Sramkova | 18c | 545.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rebecca Sramkova | 13c | 541.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Katie Volynets | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 10c | 413$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rebecca Sramkova | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rebecca Sramkova | 46c | 328.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Rebecca Sramkova | 46c | 260.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebecca Sramkova | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 10c | 237.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Rebecca Sramkova | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Rebecca Sramkova | 45c | 182.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 26c | 148$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rebecca Sramkova | 45c | 139.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Rebecca Sramkova | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rebecca Sramkova | 24c | 116$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Katie Volynets | 60c | 107.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Katie Volynets | 59c | 105.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Katie Volynets | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rebecca Sramkova | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Katie Volynets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…e5dcbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Katie Volynets | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katie Volynets | 57c | 89.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Rebecca Sramkova | 19c | 84.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rebecca Sramkova | 41c | 83.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 24c | 64.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rebecca Sramkova | 26c | 58.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Rebecca Sramkova | 45c | 56.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Rebecca Sramkova | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rebecca Sramkova | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…8818backed Rebecca Sramkova | 46c | 47.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Katie Volynets | 55c | 46.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Rebecca Sramkova | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rebecca Sramkova | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Katie Volynets | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Katie Volynets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rebecca Sramkova | 41c | 34.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Katie Volynets | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Katie Volynets | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Katie Volynets vs Rebecca Sramkovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Volynets vs SramkovaVolynets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.