South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59924f7b595e282527c649f062a2efabbd2bec23a4cacbc8d4ad4b63fc23aa3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 12c | 925.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.57 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 491.84$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.13 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 37c | 470.95$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 36c | 320.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 26c | 299.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 280.44$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 65c | 264.72$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 64c | 243.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 36c | 196.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 195.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 25c | 191.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 186.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 183.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Over | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 116.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 78.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…0d96backed Over | 38c | 77.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 50.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 67c | 45.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 34c | 34.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 64c | 24.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 65c | 23.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 18.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 75c | 13.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5this page
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.