Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Seton Hall Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a57fbd4fe357e1f0b197f819270f5c0931ff83e0f19e92a9b1e0749dbfb6cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Fairfield Stags, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fairfield Stags | 12c | 1,399$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…0bf5backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b29dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…1885backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…5bf9backed Fairfield Stags | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…3f0ebacked Fairfield Stags | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…19d8backed Fairfield Stags | 8c | 850$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Fairfield Stags | 10c | 758.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fairfield Stags | 10c | 732.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Fairfield Stags | 2c | 517.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Fairfield Stags | 11c | 439$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Fairfield Stags | 12c | 376$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…256abacked Fairfield Stags | 9c | 145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Fairfield Stags | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…c98abacked Fairfield Stags | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Seton Hall Pirates | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Fairfield Stags | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Fairfield Stags | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.