CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs The Continental (BO1) - META Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b938c862dfc9cce6455e13846c3db9d09a0ad2ab1a6b5f8e9f6d0792618456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Continentalof Nemiga, The Continental
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Nemiga | 6c | 2,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Nemiga | 5c | 1,700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 5cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Nemiga | 5c | 1,700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Nemiga | 5c | 1,600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nemiga | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Nemiga | 3c | 1,300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Nemiga | 5c | 1,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Nemiga | 5c | 1,100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Nemiga | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Nemiga | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Nemiga | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Nemiga | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Nemiga | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Nemiga | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Nemiga | 4c | 540$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Nemiga | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Nemiga | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Nemiga | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Nemiga | 4c | 430$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 31c | 80.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Nemiga | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga | 75c | 32.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed The Continental | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.