Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59fa56c8e6982a17152198b7b7e6153da5b297e8d8701f74f9b209582fc3f4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rajasthan Royalsof Rajasthan Royals, Lucknow Super Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9065…3275backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 422$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 399.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 361.65$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 324.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 125.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…5f5abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 47c | 104.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…08b8backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 98.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…4788backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 70.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…f08cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 59.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 50.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…f8d5backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…432fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…7ddebacked Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 35.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 33.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 32.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…4665backed Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…9160backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 30.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bc85backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…a26fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…1e54backed Rajasthan Royals | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…ce77backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…ae18backed Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…c74ebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super GiantsRajasthan Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.