Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Michael Geerts vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a12b597d8a30b3d9a0c9eb296d94597fbe605137da5a0583f6b45fbb44145fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefanos Sakellaridisof Michael Geerts, Stefanos Sakellaridis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,899 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Michael Geerts | 36c | 6,894$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michael Geerts | 4c | 3,965$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 70c | 2,877$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 55c | 1,486$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.42 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Michael Geerts | 1c | 1,068$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Michael Geerts | 43c | 789.05$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.92 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 53c | 733.5$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.18 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 70c | 707.79$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michael Geerts | 47c | 599.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.49 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 60c | 498.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michael Geerts | 20c | 486$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 55c | 447.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 56c | 414.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 323.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 74c | 314.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf959…6026backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 45c | 303.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Michael Geerts | 37c | 302.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michael Geerts | 32c | 266.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Michael Geerts | 41c | 259$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Michael Geerts | 40c | 250.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 59c | 249.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Michael Geerts | 41c | 236$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 71c | 219.18$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michael Geerts | 27c | 186.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 55c | 179$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michael Geerts | 45c | 176.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 59c | 168.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Michael Geerts | 42c | 150.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Michael Geerts | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Michael Geerts | 22c | 147.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 49c | 147.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Michael Geerts | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Michael Geerts | 41c | 109.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Michael Geerts | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Michael Geerts | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Michael Geerts | 41c | 97.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michael Geerts | 39c | 95.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Michael Geerts | 41c | 94.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Michael Geerts | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 54c | 71.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 75c | 71.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Michael Geerts | 57c | 61.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Michael Geerts | 41c | 50.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Michael Geerts | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 63c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 58c | 41.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Michael Geerts | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Michael Geerts | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Michael Geerts | 51c | 40.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…460dbacked Michael Geerts | 28c | 37.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Michael Geerts | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Michael Geerts | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Michael Geerts | 58c | 34.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Michael Geerts | 41c | 31.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Michael Geerts | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Michael Geerts | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 66c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Michael Geerts | 47c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87aa…2b04backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Michael Geerts | 57c | 19.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.