CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6421e195dd90a87651d0dd132511cffc65eadd58f62d351efeea747fe30771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, Orion Wanderers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Orion Wanderers | 32c | 1,790$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.54 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Sashi Esport | 67c | 857.92$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Sashi Esport | 68c | 715.28$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Orion Wanderers | 29c | 346.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Sashi Esport | 75c | 329.63$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Sashi Esport | 71c | 316.38$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Orion Wanderers | 30c | 293.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Orion Wanderers | 29c | 278.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Orion Wanderers | 8c | 128.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sashi Esport | 70c | 98.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Sashi Esport | 68c | 88.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Sashi Esport | 79c | 72.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Sashi Esport | 72c | 67.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Sashi Esport | 75c | 60.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Sashi Esport | 68c | 59.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Sashi Esport | 66c | 53.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Orion Wanderers | 21c | 51.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Sashi Esport | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Sashi Esport | 70c | 22.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…ccf2backed Sashi Esport | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Orion Wanderers vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13Sashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Orion Wanderers vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Orion Wanderers vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.