Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7f9edb4d09557a64328fc6c63f4065e4f953c2e70a24f764067498d7b05cf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRION Challengersof Hanwha Life Esports Challengers, HANJIN BRION Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 57c | 631.3$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 43c | 561.84$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 57c | 479.22$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 286 | 38.1%109 W · 177 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 43c | 205.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 41c | 148.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 125.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 42c | 98.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 42c | 98.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 38c | 93.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 62c | 81.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 59c | 53.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 58c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.