Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Ali Habib
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a873377cb5d9b41d98f1377f96183bc3ff4a1328663764719217ae9f3977334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alec Deckersof Alec Deckers, Ali Habib
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ali Habib | 24c | 3,863$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.67 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Alec Deckers | 77c | 3,493$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.3 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Alec Deckers | 78c | 2,115$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.38 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ali Habib | 18c | 1,673$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Alec Deckers | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ali Habib | 21c | 1,569$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ali Habib | 6c | 1,171$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Ali Habib | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ali Habib | 3c | 952.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ali Habib | 22c | 905.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Alec Deckers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alec Deckers | 78c | 345.56$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Ali Habib | 6c | 333.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed Ali Habib | 7c | 333.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Ali Habib | 23c | 301.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Ali Habib | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ali Habib | 19c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Ali Habib | 22c | 222.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Ali Habib | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ali Habib | 17c | 183.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Ali Habib | 28c | 159$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Ali Habib | 19c | 149.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Ali Habib | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alec Deckers | 69c | 143$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ali Habib | 23c | 137.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Ali Habib | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Ali Habib | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Ali Habib | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Alec Deckers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ali Habib | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Ali Habib | 14c | 98.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Ali Habib | 20c | 93.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ali Habib | 14c | 93.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ali Habib | 15c | 81.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Ali Habib | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Alec Deckers | 77c | 70.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Ali Habib | 16c | 70.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Ali Habib | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…459fbacked Alec Deckers | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alec Deckers | 71c | 32.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Alec Deckers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 221 | 43.9%97 W · 124 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…eb01backed Alec Deckers | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.