Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Kecmanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a937e87dfffe72f1780212a15a910bf1f31583589a86226109de8cf9cae2f51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Kecmanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Zverev | 63c | 855.52$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.27 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kecmanovic | 36c | 497.75$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.67 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kecmanovic | 36c | 465.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.94 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev | 56c | 296.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Zverev | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kecmanovic | 21c | 285.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kecmanovic | 41c | 146.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zverev | 72c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kecmanovic | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kecmanovic | 30c | 62.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kecmanovic | 43c | 48.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Zverev | 65c | 47.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked Zverev | 77c | 47.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…d150backed Zverev | 77c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Kecmanovicthis page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir KecmanovicAlexander Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Kecmanovic (+1.5)Kecmanovic won
- Zverev vs. Kecmanovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.