Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Kecmanovic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835b6ec64db4839e3ef033d4a60114e965d1b05e50def1522680760bb0bc2220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kecmanovicof Zverev, Kecmanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Zverev | 61c | 6,653$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.8 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kecmanovic | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Kecmanovic | 33c | 1,442$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.53 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zverev | 45c | 580.65$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Zverev | 63c | 501.27$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zverev | 41c | 481.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Kecmanovic | 48c | 302.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.38 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kecmanovic | 36c | 299.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kecmanovic | 36c | 282.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Kecmanovic | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Kecmanovic | 34c | 253.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…1d37backed Kecmanovic | 74c | 228.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Zverev | 64c | 225.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Zverev | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Zverev | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Zverev | 60c | 122$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kecmanovic | 38c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Zverev | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked Zverev | 60c | 101.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Kecmanovic | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Zverev | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Kecmanovic | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Kecmanovic | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Kecmanovic | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Kecmanovic | 27c | 56.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kecmanovic | 35c | 50.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Kecmanovic | 58c | 47.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Zverev | 64c | 46.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev | 63c | 45.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Kecmanovic | 38c | 45.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kecmanovic | 41c | 42.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Zverev | 62c | 41.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Zverev | 63c | 30.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Kecmanovic | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Zverev | 77c | 29.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zverev | 56c | 29.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Zverev | 76c | 26.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Zverev | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Zverev | 65c | 16.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Kecmanovic (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir KecmanovicAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs KecmanovicZverev won
- Zverev vs. Kecmanovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.