Cricket · resolved market
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9e9208cade55bc468d48403bcc4880cf37244d2a039a40a8dc4e59caa8b516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Englandof England, Ireland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ireland | 2c | 18,572$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.9 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Ireland | 5c | 12,063$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.16 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed Ireland | 3c | 7,613$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ireland | 5c | 5,861$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ireland | 6c | 5,186$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.73 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ireland | 6c | 4,993$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…8db2backed Ireland | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491f…07d6backed Ireland | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Ireland | 1c | 1,908$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Ireland | 5c | 1,361$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…a5ffbacked Ireland | 6c | 1,359$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Ireland | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…3a69backed Ireland | 3c | 969.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…1c82backed Ireland | 6c | 879.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5d…3c7cbacked Ireland | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Ireland | 5c | 804.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Ireland | 4c | 800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ireland | 5c | 794$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…19a7backed Ireland | 5c | 659.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Ireland | 4c | 622.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ireland | 5c | 604.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Ireland | 5c | 527.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Ireland | 5c | 514.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed Ireland | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Ireland | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…eb27backed Ireland | 3c | 375$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Ireland | 4c | 340$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…ae53backed Ireland | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Ireland | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…283dbacked Ireland | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…8cb6backed Ireland | 5c | 222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…c912backed Ireland | 9c | 212.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…0f1cbacked Ireland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…f7f2backed Ireland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Irelandthis page
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Who wins the toss?England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.