CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aaa4b781c144f5b3fcef66daefad3c2c68247d24dd90ef7bfd4e000f5e22701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 3,505$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.34 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA | 42c | 2,133$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 759.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed SPARTA | 62c | 722.36$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.54 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 589.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA | 52c | 383.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked SPARTA | 41c | 348.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 62c | 338.75$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked SPARTA | 40c | 314.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 272.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed SPARTA | 47c | 230.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 50c | 146.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 136$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SPARTA | 40c | 91.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 90.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed SPARTA | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked SPARTA | 45c | 77.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA | 62c | 70.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 68.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…a875backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 61.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked SPARTA | 41c | 60.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed SPARTA | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 49.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…16cdbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed SPARTA | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed SPARTA | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 36.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1aa…f1e5backed SPARTA | 42c | 36.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…4b6dbacked SPARTA | 41c | 31.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 23.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 21.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.