Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5acdf175740de13abf9e29ea711a2cc3c041c2c93fe86ebb7211d5a3fa3379a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 4,921$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 1,467$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.24 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 1,115$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.39 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 985.98$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes | 65c | 617.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 53c | 591$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 319.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 65c | 308.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 65c | 273.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 66c | 193.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 63c | 156.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 146.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 55c | 146$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 66c | 136.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…3610backed Yes | 48c | 132.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 132.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 63c | 131.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 39c | 121.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 62c | 82.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…1815backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…58cebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…d692backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Yes | 61c | 34.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 30.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Yes | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked No | 62c | 19.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…39c3backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…1b84backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia leading at halftime?this page
- Jordan leading at halftime?No won
- Jordan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.