Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af7a84f6d4a53769e61e7c1d1a64ac9632db8f24e61bcffd35421bc247a47c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 59c | 6,434$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.71 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 5,744$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.88 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 41c | 2,749$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.35 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 60c | 2,026$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 59c | 1,688$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 40c | 1,593$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 59c | 1,483$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 998.67$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.22 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 42c | 603.81$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 464.38$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 281.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Over | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 58c | 191.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 43c | 191.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 57c | 191.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 57c | 177.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 54.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 43c | 33.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed Over | 41c | 31.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…4804backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.