Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b0a628add862121b726a4e6acdff6b005a244e54f02b1f43dd79c0a19348fc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,908 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a9a…217ebacked No | 51c | 5,432$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…1cc3backed Yes | 49c | 5,192$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…6391backed No | 51c | 5,040$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 2c | 4,203$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c8…dd17backed Yes | 49c | 3,324$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…fbb4backed Yes | 49c | 1,956$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 1,392$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.18 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 1,329$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.66 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 36c | 873.32$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 48c | 833.63$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 53c | 499.93$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 456.33$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.04 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 47c | 323.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 45c | 292$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 47c | 286.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ec76backed Yes | 8c | 267.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 257.35$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 47c | 242$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 237.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 13c | 192.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 169.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 47c | 131.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 113.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 105.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 86.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed No | 66c | 75.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 63.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed No | 61c | 48.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fc70backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 55c | 40.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 34.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 77c | 33.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Yes | 44c | 25.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.