Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bolzano: Giorgio Tabacco vs Denis Constantin Spiridon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b628ffffec272de339d5d0d4b6f0a60dc9af880655487f45ef301c2ef240ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giorgio Tabaccoof Giorgio Tabacco, Denis Constantin Spiridon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Giorgio Tabacco | 43c | 6,914$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.74 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 53c | 6,880$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 59c | 663.5$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.22 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Giorgio Tabacco | 73c | 622$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Giorgio Tabacco | 76c | 234.65$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 50c | 132.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 70c | 64.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Giorgio Tabacco | 43c | 51.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 45c | 49.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon | 42c | 48.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Giorgio Tabacco | 76c | 47.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Giorgio Tabacco | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Giorgio Tabacco | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Giorgio Tabacco | 61c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Giorgio Tabacco | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Denis Constantin Spiridon | 55c | 21.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.