Tennis · resolved market
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b690596267647b2f259d77d648318a98e43110722fecebb73811713df4dd2e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mattia Bellucciof Mattia Bellucci, Mikhail Kukushkin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 3c | 12,207$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 11c | 2,060$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 9c | 1,356$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 25c | 1,172$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.21 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…5639backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 25c | 490.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 5c | 392.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 311.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 23c | 302.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Mattia Bellucci | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 12c | 254.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 24c | 240.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 6c | 211$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 10c | 203.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 180.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 161.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 26c | 133.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 13c | 129.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 128.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 20c | 112.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 110.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…284bbacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…0a19backed Mattia Bellucci | 78c | 53.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 75c | 48.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mattia Bellucci | 79c | 40.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 75c | 29.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 74c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Mattia Bellucci | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mattia Bellucci | 76c | 13.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkinthis page
- Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs KukushkinBellucci won
- Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Kukushkin (+1.5)Bellucci won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.