Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-01-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc318d2540302d406fa8a33cee73b1fe82c837020fcde7813f5f68e2fb68434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 79c | 2,001$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 1,271$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 918$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 727.39$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 29c | 560.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 79c | 512$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…f65cbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 342.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 325.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 234.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 221.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 202.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…1b46backed No | 78c | 168.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 157.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 157.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed No | 80c | 157.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 74c | 96.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 60.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…fa1ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 51.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 50.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 26c | 46.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…7cc0backed No | 80c | 16.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked No | 79c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…6705backed No | 80c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…4ac4backed No | 80c | 12.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-01-19?this page
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?No won
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-01-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.