CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1fbcd39bf08e29257e6365845e63e9893bfdff127bc8d6bf1d80afff297ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Falcons Force, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Falcons Force | 13c | 2,158$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.03 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 11c | 1,596$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Falcons Force | 10c | 1,448$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Falcons Force | 12c | 952.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Falcons Force | 7c | 915.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 10c | 775.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Falcons Force | 19c | 724.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…2dcabacked Falcons Force | 3c | 696.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Falcons Force | 13c | 692.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Falcons Force | 4c | 687.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons Force | 15c | 611.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Falcons Force | 11c | 599.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Falcons Force | 13c | 432.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Falcons Force | 8c | 393.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed B8 | 80c | 390$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Falcons Force | 20c | 371.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Falcons Force | 6c | 364.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Falcons Force | 7c | 346.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Falcons Force | 14c | 286.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Falcons Force | 12c | 262.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Falcons Force | 4c | 254.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Falcons Force | 12c | 211.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Falcons Force | 21c | 195.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Falcons Force | 9c | 187.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Falcons Force | 21c | 148.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Falcons Force | 10c | 145.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Falcons Force | 17c | 137.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 13c | 115.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Falcons Force | 13c | 106.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Falcons Force | 13c | 104.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Falcons Force | 19c | 100.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed B8 | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Falcons Force | 20c | 95.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…368dbacked Falcons Force | 17c | 95.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Falcons Force | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Falcons Force | 18c | 89.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Falcons Force | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Falcons Force | 18c | 84.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Falcons Force | 18c | 76.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Falcons Force | 16c | 75.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked B8 | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed B8 | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFalcons Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.