Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Lola Radivojevic vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c298ce47b736066a55520621eb2debf203f719a527e9ce922db07c05b8e03d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lola Radivojevicof Lola Radivojevic, Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 18c | 8,038$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 27c | 4,313$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.93 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 6c | 3,236$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Lola Radivojevic | 69c | 2,050$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.35 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lola Radivojevic | 78c | 1,746$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.71 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Lola Radivojevic | 77c | 949.03$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lola Radivojevic | 62c | 388.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 38c | 384.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 36c | 368.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 7c | 328.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lola Radivojevic | 75c | 306.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 32c | 289.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…384ebacked Lola Radivojevic | 68c | 200.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 24c | 149.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 19c | 125.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Lola Radivojevic | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Lola Radivojevic | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 13c | 92.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Lola Radivojevic | 77c | 80.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lola Radivojevic | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 28c | 53.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 28c | 53.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 38c | 52.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 20c | 52.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Lola Radivojevic | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lola Radivojevic | 61c | 44.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 38c | 42.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 37c | 31.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Lola Radivojevic | 64c | 28.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…4a1dbacked Lola Radivojevic | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Lola Radivojevic | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lola Radivojevic | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Lola Radivojevic | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.