Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Lorenzo Rottoli vs Gabriele Piraino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3119594732c6f3b758bbb8bbea40042fefe4f48f0d93f6dad108cc1e48be34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriele Pirainoof Lorenzo Rottoli, Gabriele Piraino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 14c | 2,479$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 16c | 2,142$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 1c | 1,310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 8c | 1,286$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 13c | 1,071$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 12c | 509.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 16c | 284.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…99dbbacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 18c | 241.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gabriele Piraino | 77c | 227$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 11c | 202.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 20c | 190.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 22c | 155.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 16c | 140.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 19c | 131.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 13c | 131.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 16c | 117.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Gabriele Piraino | 80c | 107.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Gabriele Piraino | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Gabriele Piraino | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 17c | 94.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8d…f1e3backed Gabriele Piraino | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Gabriele Piraino | 79c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Gabriele Piraino | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.