Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3f3929638c3c74f082782318a372b872002f16cf9d18184fb852f1061ee0bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 31c | 12,479$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.69 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 9,731$6,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.11 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 7,500$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 2,596$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 1,699$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.71 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,154$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 29c | 821.48$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 80c | 723.15$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 22c | 687$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 587.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 29c | 532.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 29c | 444.55$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…3e14backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…f11abacked No | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 69c | 303.39$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 232.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 28c | 212.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…4878backed Yes | 31c | 187.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…2833backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 30c | 141.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 31c | 119.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 29c | 111.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4307…86fabacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 89.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 30c | 64.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 31c | 63.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…981dbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 32c | 45.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 45.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 70c | 43.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 30c | 41.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 29.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…7197backed No | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…1109backed No | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 73c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.