Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Kamilla Rakhimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5411c9e94c6d11e4556510056c954c37eea994fa41c558723b5376c1ac84e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tatjana Mariaof Tatjana Maria, Kamilla Rakhimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 7c | 18,804$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.04 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 2c | 3,510$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tatjana Maria | 60c | 1,128$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.13 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 282 | 62.4%176 W · 106 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Tatjana Maria | 51c | 713.22$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.73 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 18c | 333.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 52c | 290.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 42c | 235.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tatjana Maria | 47c | 214.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 53c | 203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 26c | 192.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Tatjana Maria | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tatjana Maria | 51c | 143.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 54c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 35c | 93.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tatjana Maria | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 49c | 72.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 49c | 70.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…a9debacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 30c | 58.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tatjana Maria | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 48c | 36.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…ed49backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 41c | 31.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tatjana Maria | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.