Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nice beat Twente?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c834d30860b67ec13fc96aa0c9df25cb478c8994d7663a269ec3cc7ab65d213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 850.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 11c | 731.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 40c | 693.92$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.35 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…e0b9backed Yes | 61c | 494.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 38c | 376.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 61c | 183.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 41c | 160.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 56c | 149.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…692abacked No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…ea32backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 47c | 75.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…774fbacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…d663backed Yes | 62c | 54.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a64…bd00backed Yes | 60c | 36.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…37abbacked Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…3ce6backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 65c | 29.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8347…f8b5backed Yes | 60c | 28.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…f335backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…f8afbacked Yes | 60c | 26.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…8932backed Yes | 61c | 20.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…bc0ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…afd9backed Yes | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nice beat Twente?this page
- Will Twente beat Nice?No won
- Will the match between Nice and Twente end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.