NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c8ae13989fd53f958a6dc9dadb612a548e0e62b1239a7b015800d54f8ea8f42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 52c | 31,334$16,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,393.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 19,904$9,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,448.83 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 48c | 14,534$6,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,557.71 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 10,403$5,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.37 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 4,038$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 2,820$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.29 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,754$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 47c | 1,528$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Over | 47c | 884.7$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 781.29$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 759.75$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.42 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 647.34$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 576.31$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 304$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 293.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 191.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 175.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 51c | 136.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Over | 48c | 129$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Under | 43c | 117.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 84.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 83.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 69.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 65.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 51.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 38.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 47c | 38.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Under | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 61c | 31.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 57c | 30.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 52c | 28.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 51c | 28.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 52c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. UtahUtah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.