NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4a6fa2c2fb961702d0eab0b75e52df2bca0f95fc4cc5a99a089bf24fdafc6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 51c | 9,462$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.77 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Utah | 49c | 9,231$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.89 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canucks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Utah | 49c | 4,728$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.28 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Canucks | 50c | 3,169$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.52 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah | 50c | 2,358$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.78 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 50c | 1,536$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.97 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…043cbacked Utah | 50c | 1,017$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Utah | 50c | 999$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah | 50c | 467.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Utah | 50c | 339.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Utah | 57c | 324.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Canucks | 50c | 299.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Canucks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Canucks | 49c | 184.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 49c | 181.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Canucks | 37c | 150.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Utah | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Canucks | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Utah | 49c | 88.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Utah | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Utah | 49c | 66.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Utah | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 43c | 53.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Canucks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Canucks | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Utah | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Utah | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Utah | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Canucks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 56c | 29.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canucks | 52c | 26.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Canucks | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 59c | 21.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Canucks | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. UtahUtah won
- Canucks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.