Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca6f994cab7af0375b6b7f490b28742352342a32d95272db1ce4f2d60b4c126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 5,041$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 73c | 3,662$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.74 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 1,189$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.25 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,005$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 9c | 495.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 5c | 388.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 360.64$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…078abacked Yes | 27c | 340.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Yes | 5c | 211.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 170.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…ff13backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 73c | 67.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 74c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 74c | 33.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 73c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed No | 73c | 30.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…1e33backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 74c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…e2e7backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed No | 74c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 73c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?No won
- Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.