Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce64acc8efd6066ba3210dfc38e9565cc63732f757c800a1c8b0589d44c60d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte 49ersof North Texas Mean Green, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.85 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 4,376$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.29 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 2,881$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 1,228$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.25 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 453.46$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.13 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 421.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 140.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 118.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 78.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 47.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 49c | 46.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 38.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 38.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 35.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-1.5)this page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Charlotte 49ersCharlotte 49ers won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 134.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.