Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Yusuke Takahashi vs Masamichi Imamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf1bc0187471b3c7abc8af87a15abda70e01fe18e8b7fd213b5cabd43f7625d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Masamichi Imamuraof Yusuke Takahashi, Masamichi Imamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yusuke Takahashi | 41c | 1,208$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Masamichi Imamura | 55c | 909.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yusuke Takahashi | 26c | 270$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Yusuke Takahashi | 43c | 244.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Masamichi Imamura | 57c | 240.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Masamichi Imamura | 61c | 228.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Masamichi Imamura | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 38c | 91.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yusuke Takahashi | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Masamichi Imamura | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Masamichi Imamura | 62c | 59.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 53c | 57.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Masamichi Imamura | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Masamichi Imamura | 51c | 49.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Masamichi Imamura | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Masamichi Imamura | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Masamichi Imamura | 73c | 37.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Masamichi Imamura | 64c | 33.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Masamichi Imamura | 58c | 30.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Masamichi Imamura | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Masamichi Imamura | 69c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Masamichi Imamura | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.