Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $295?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d02932d7957ccc75f62ff2d5c331228295f6237cda3080c3d76ed043faddf18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b49…1676backed Yes | 76c | 684.99$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…43dbbacked No | 24c | 684.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf5…54b9backed No | 26c | 648$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…0386backed Yes | 74c | 648$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…7900backed Yes | 57c | 609.75$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…1988backed No | 43c | 609.75$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 4c | 534$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71de…57f0backed Yes | 76c | 436.56$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…1415backed No | 24c | 436.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…0014backed No | 24c | 353.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…e29abacked Yes | 76c | 353.5$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…f134backed Yes | 76c | 340.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…d390backed No | 24c | 340.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 219.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 174$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 78c | 136.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…2a44backed Yes | 38c | 130.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 26.8%44 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…6851backed No | 65c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 848 | 46%390 W · 458 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…6b01backed Yes | 62c | 16.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $295?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $275?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $280?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $285?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $290?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $300?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $305?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $315?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $320?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $325?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $330?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.