Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d16dedb321aed984057c2e5741c918d509f0cdd36d57c7c6baddcd297ffbcac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 65c | 1,462$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.76 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 52c | 854.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.55 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 24c | 837.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.83 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 38c | 553.14$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Under | 27c | 505.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.9 | 154 | 33.1%51 W · 103 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 42c | 498.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 242.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 60c | 227.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 39c | 207.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Over | 66c | 192.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Over | 47c | 165.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 63c | 102.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…babebacked Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 61c | 44.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 38c | 37.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 45c | 37.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 32c | 34.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Under | 65c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…76dbbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 68c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.