TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wyoming Cowboys vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Under52c17,913$9,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,526.2960949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over48c11,463$5,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,502.0874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c6,688$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.9312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over47c5,237$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.4414854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c2,889$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.8335147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over48c1,828$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.2715748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Over47c1,824$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.464146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,039$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.035,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c1,033$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.631,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c935.17$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.5334746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c627.27$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.632,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c619.54$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under53c396.51$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3611957.1%68 W · 51 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under53c187.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.911,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over49c104$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9623948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under51c103.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5126254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9583350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0450548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96c…733cbacked Under54c58.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8713448.5%65 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c27.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.053,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed Over48c25.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.373743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.