NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5daf4b52836c4c77f3de54f9f9cda42ad2561cdd1bab912f78f580077f849bbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rangers | 8c | 14,586$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.1 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…7355backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,615$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 10c | 4,759$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…04dabacked Rangers | 54c | 4,424$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,310$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 53c | 2,210$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.08 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,161$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.33 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Rangers | 54c | 2,002$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,937$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.01 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e7adbacked Rangers | 54c | 1,847$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…d0c2backed Rangers | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…595fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rangers | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers | 54c | 1,268$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.3 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Rangers | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 55c | 1,230$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.45 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Rangers | 52c | 1,167$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.89 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 53c | 1,157$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.42 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Rangers | 24c | 1,104$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.13 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 999.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 54c | 925.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Rangers | 54c | 864.44$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.95 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 805.48$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.07 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…744dbacked Rangers | 54c | 680.92$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…90d0backed Rangers | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…372abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 450$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 399.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…6738backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 341.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…ae73backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 245$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4310…396bbacked Rangers | 53c | 245$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…7fb4backed Rangers | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…530bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Rangers | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9841backed Rangers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 164.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 46c | 161.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…117bbacked Rangers | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…ae2fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…a926backed Rangers | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…0623backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers | 54c | 118.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…9785backed Rangers | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…750abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…f014backed Rangers | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…9f20backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 117$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…ff4ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 113$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…c6a7backed Rangers | 53c | 113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Rangers | 54c | 111.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…c555backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfb…f862backed Rangers | 53c | 109$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…e35dbacked Rangers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rangers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…305bbacked Rangers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…446fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rangers | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 11c | 97.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…b478backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 91.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc421…92b4backed Rangers | 55c | 79.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…fa37backed Rangers | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…bb0ebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c71…7514backed Rangers | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…434ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…53eabacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 72.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…b7b8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 71.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Rangers | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cb…1babbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 70.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…09e8backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 63.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…4816backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 62.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 55c | 58.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…1f6fbacked Rangers | 54c | 58.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…c612backed Rangers | 55c | 55.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…bc1fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 54.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Rangers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…b727backed Rangers | 55c | 51.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…a655backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 49.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 46.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed Rangers | 53c | 46.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…42b9backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…e673backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 44.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…3e55backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 43.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.