Tennis · resolved market
ITF Elvas: Stephanie Judith Visscher vs Hina Inoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd3b680af003b23e1e029668ff3391ba3715957e50314399840e252e2e522d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hina Inoueof Stephanie Judith Visscher, Hina Inoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 61c | 4,549$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.26 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hina Inoue | 39c | 2,859$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.09 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…bd78backed Hina Inoue | 30c | 727.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hina Inoue | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hina Inoue | 36c | 614.44$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Hina Inoue | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 70c | 198$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hina Inoue | 27c | 158.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hina Inoue | 19c | 113.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 68c | 102.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hina Inoue | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 59c | 92.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 37c | 75.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hina Inoue | 41c | 64.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hina Inoue | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hina Inoue | 41c | 49.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 56c | 40.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Hina Inoue | 41c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.