Fifa International · resolved market
Enner Valencia: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df6e89cfede0b2677ce4c4507003c07913f9fddea004dee9805400b7d3c3a4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 30c | 1,109$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.16 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed No | 72c | 249.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 69c | 162.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 72c | 137.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…ae0dbacked No | 77c | 130.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 102.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 84.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…2feabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 70.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…9a3fbacked Yes | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…c975backed Yes | 32c | 63.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 51.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…04e6backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 27.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsthis page
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Anthony Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kendry Páez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Moisés Caicedo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Simon Adingra: 3+ goalsNo won
- Yan Diomandé: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.