TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. East Carolina Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof Tulsa Golden Hurricane, East Carolina Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05b9…2adfbacked East Carolina Pirates20c5,065$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.4857248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed East Carolina Pirates20c3,978$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.742445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed East Carolina Pirates0c3,678$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked East Carolina Pirates19c3,577$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed East Carolina Pirates8c809.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane80c712.97$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed East Carolina Pirates21c583.31$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane79c554.51$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.892,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed East Carolina Pirates19c418.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0289…6ba5backed East Carolina Pirates20c348.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed East Carolina Pirates20c311.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2524737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed East Carolina Pirates18c309.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2382846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked East Carolina Pirates19c259.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7323054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked East Carolina Pirates18c205.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.92,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked East Carolina Pirates19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked East Carolina Pirates20c198.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed East Carolina Pirates20c162.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6512141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed East Carolina Pirates12c137.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed East Carolina Pirates20c136.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.389352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed East Carolina Pirates19c120.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed East Carolina Pirates19c99.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.916721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked East Carolina Pirates20c76.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.353135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked East Carolina Pirates20c67.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked East Carolina Pirates19c60.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4538837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked East Carolina Pirates18c57.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5120834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1033445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.