CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #3 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e55a412c510c8fc329969c0e87d6b58ddfed04d3e254550989082c103da7017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, KUUSAMO.gg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,747 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KUUSAMO.gg | 45c | 5,093$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Phantom | 54c | 2,593$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.43 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Phantom | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Phantom | 56c | 615.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.04 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Phantom | 54c | 611.1$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Phantom | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed KUUSAMO.gg | 50c | 420.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…3fabbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 43c | 332.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KUUSAMO.gg | 42c | 260.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f49…085bbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Phantom | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…8672backed KUUSAMO.gg | 18c | 195.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed KUUSAMO.gg | 43c | 158.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed KUUSAMO.gg | 32c | 155$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…a8fabacked KUUSAMO.gg | 18c | 153.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Phantom | 52c | 152.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Phantom | 48c | 126.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed KUUSAMO.gg | 35c | 115.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed KUUSAMO.gg | 29c | 111.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Phantom | 52c | 97.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed KUUSAMO.gg | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed KUUSAMO.gg | 46c | 94.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked KUUSAMO.gg | 43c | 93.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed KUUSAMO.gg | 16c | 68.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Phantom | 63c | 63.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…5456backed KUUSAMO.gg | 17c | 59.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 39c | 58.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Phantom | 54c | 56.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Phantom | 54c | 55.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed Phantom | 54c | 54.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 46c | 44.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Phantom | 52c | 38.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Phantom | 55c | 35.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked KUUSAMO.gg | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Phantom | 46c | 31.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.