Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6d4225a4b7c74ab76050516534b22dd46a5e63ef0e3acde36a5def6b9e62d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 69c | 5,055$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 66c | 3,514$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.27 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 31c | 1,479$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.58 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 67c | 995.93$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.66 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 31c | 927.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 35c | 557.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…12e7backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Over | 33c | 479.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 33c | 288.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 32c | 273.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Over | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 66c | 157.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 32c | 146.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Over | 34c | 102.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 34c | 101.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 68c | 49.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 68c | 34.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 68c | 20.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…3de2backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.